{
  "goal_achieved": true,
  "requirements": [
    {
      "requirement": "Continuous daily multidimensional trend-strength tracking",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "src/tt_features.py",
        "data/processed/trend_tracking_v8/tracking_features.parquet",
        "indicator_guide.csv"
      ],
      "meaning": "Fixed continuous components, raw dimensions and direction resets; no all-gates binary trend declaration"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Reliable computation and explicit limits of parameter stability",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "validation.json",
        "src/tt_validate.py",
        "score_parameter_sensitivity.csv"
      ],
      "meaning": "Prefix causality, mirror/unit invariance and independent future-path recomputation passed; parameter stability is descriptive, not alpha"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "15 complete annual historical review years",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "fold_audit.csv",
        "formation_fold_audit.csv",
        "coverage_by_year.csv"
      ],
      "meaning": "2011-2025 complete review with 2026 extension, older history only for preparation/training"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Chronological fitting and delayed outcome maturity",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "src/tt_models.py",
        "src/tt_formation.py",
        "validation.json"
      ],
      "meaning": "Training and calibration maturity rules inspected and separately checked against actual fold dates"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "All originally named case groups retained with original dates",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "recent_case_review.csv",
        "recent_case_monthly.csv",
        "data/processed/trend_tracking_v8/recent_case_paths.parquet"
      ],
      "meaning": "Agriculture, precious metals, nickel/lithium, polyolefins/styrene and caustic soda including imperfect cases"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Broad long/smooth versus irregular/short retrospective comparisons",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "historical_episode_atlas.csv",
        "episode_stage_observations.csv",
        "recent_fixed_control_scores.csv"
      ],
      "meaning": "Retrospective origins are never model entry dates; control selection dependence is disclosed"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Formation and continuation evaluated separately",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "formation_probability_bands.csv",
        "formation_condition_profiles.csv",
        "landmark_rates.csv"
      ],
      "meaning": "Completion of the original quarter is not confused with direction over the remainder or a fresh future quarter"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Concrete higher-probability circumstances grounded in actual held-year observations",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "data/processed/trend_tracking_v8/formation_predictions.parquet",
        "formation_condition_profiles.csv",
        "formation_comparisons.csv"
      ],
      "meaning": "The 65.3% quarter-completion group is explicitly conditional on 42 observed sessions; lower remaining-direction rate and fresh-quarter result are disclosed"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "No unsupported probability treated as a trading signal",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "model_metrics.csv",
        "formation_metrics.csv",
        "latest.html"
      ],
      "meaning": "Initial fresh-quarter failures, calibration failures, post-initial followup and early sparse groups remain visible"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Current instrument diagnostics and reusable monitor actually run",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "current_assessment.csv",
        "src/tt_monitor.py",
        "monitor/2026-10-30/refresh_manifest.json"
      ],
      "meaning": "Refresh reads existing validated daily input; does not claim auto-collection or installed scheduling"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Monitor refuses to label stale input as current",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "src/tt_monitor.py",
        "completion_audit.json"
      ],
      "meaning": "An unavailable future date was requested and rejected without producing a fake current refresh"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Price-volume/OI scope and fundamentals excluded",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "src/tt_features.py",
        "src/tt_common.py",
        "README_trend_tracking_v8.md"
      ],
      "meaning": "Price-derived and activity-derived inputs only; tick direction evidence remains distinct from daily signed volume"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Original files and previous studies preserved",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "protected_inputs.json"
      ],
      "meaning": "All protected original hashes match; no database writes, orders or publication"
    },
    {
      "requirement": "Complete readable report and source-backed reproducibility",
      "proved": true,
      "evidence": [
        "latest.html",
        "qa/report_qa.json",
        "qa/visual_review.json",
        "research/trend_tracking_sources_v8.json"
      ],
      "meaning": "Charts, tables, case filtering, links, input freshness and desktop/mobile rendering verified"
    }
  ],
  "remaining_required_work": [],
  "completion_meaning": "Continuous tracking indicators, fifteen-year investigation, case reviews and conditional formation evidence delivered with an operational read-only refresh. No claim of high-probability fresh-quarter prediction, trading profitability or automated market-data collection.",
  "known_research_limits": [
    "Current scores are descriptive, not future probabilities",
    "Quarter completion after42 observed days is not new63-day prediction",
    "Remaining-direction performance can be weak even in high-completion groups",
    "Calibration instability and short tick coverage remain",
    "Future unseen data are required to confirm exploratory followup findings"
  ]
}